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Black and white photo from 1918 showing crowds of people in the street
MFP Voices

People Gave Up on Flu Pandemic Measures A Century Ago and Paid A Price

Today’s Americans have significant advantages over those of a century ago. We have a much better understanding of virology and epidemiology. We know that social distancing and masking work to help save lives. Most critically, we have multiple safe and effective vaccines that are being deployed, with the pace of vaccinations increasingly weekly.

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MFP Voices

How Do Pandemics End? Diseases Fade But Are Almost Never Truly Gone

Epidemiologists and public-health specialists have been using mathematical models to forecast the future in an effort to curb the coronvirus’ spread. But infectious disease modeling is tricky. Epidemiologists warn that “[m]odels are not crystal balls,” and even sophisticated versions, like those that combine forecasts or use machine learning, can’t necessarily reveal when the pandemic will end or how many people will die.

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